savage-notes

A collection of 214 posts

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 12-19-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ It’s OPEX day. We’ve had mixed flows over the past two sessions, so there isn’t a clear edge in either direction for this triple-witching options expiration. All in all, expect fukery and be safe out there. Let’s have a sesh. Weekly

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Morning Market Notes 12-17-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ After breaking the weekly 6850 SPX key level mentioned on Monday, we saw a nice bear selloff into the mid-6700s. The new sticky level is now 6800. We’re seeing mixed signals in the flow, as major index ETF names like $QQQ and $SPY are

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 12-16-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ An absolute horror print from October’s NFP: -105K vs. -25K nonfarm payrolls. We didn’t get a strong pre-market reaction to this print, but it’s possible we’ll see some movement intraday, especially since we’re below 6850 SPX. Let’s have a

savage-notes

Weekly market calendar: Dec. 15-19, 2025 and Morning Market Notes

Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: $SPX & $QQQ The key level to watch this week is 6850 SPX. Bullish above it, mega-bear below it. Flows from Friday didn’t support the upside we’re seeing pre-market, so proceed with caution.

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 12-12-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Once again, we haven’t seen downside impact from the bearish flows this week. One final shakeout before a (for now) likely Santa rally? Let’s have a sesh. Weekly Payout > Monthly Salary jmtiffany is building a house with trading profits after under a

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Morning Market Notes 12-11-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We’re yet to see the outcome of those bear flows from early in the week, as yesterday’s rates decision pushed us into a test of 6900 SPX. That means a test of 6800 is still pending. Let’s have a sesh. Weekly Payout

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Morning Market Notes 12-10-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Welcome to yet another FOMC day. Violent intraday price swings are what I expect based on the flows coming into this rates decision and JPow’s press conference. Fed days are usually tricky, but this one could be even trickier, so use caution. Let’s

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 12-09-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ For the first time in a couple of weeks, flow printed on the bear side in stocks and the Mag7. So naturally, we expect a test of 6800 soon — maybe today. Let’s have a sesh. Weekly Payout > Monthly Salary jmtiffany is building a

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 12-08-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Welcome to FOMC week. As mentioned in our weekly calendar notes, all eyes are on Wednesday with the rates decision and the Fed chair press conference. 7000 SPX is a massive level, and we expect it to be the upside target for the month if

savage-notes

Weekly market calendar: Dec 8-12, 2025

Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: The bounce continues as we head into FOMC week with yet another rates decision and JPow’s press conference. Under the hood, no signs of selling yet — flow has been steadily bullish as we slowly

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Morning Market Notes 12-05-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ There’s less and less fuel in the daily flow in stocks and the Mag7, hinting at a continuation of this sideways action with a slight drift to upside. More of the same. So wait for the strongest confluences before taking positions. Let’s have

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Morning Market Notes 12-04-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We’ve been consolidating this week as we wait for the main event of the year with the rates decision next Wednesday. Not much to expect — in a non-sarcastic way — besides more of the same, unless flows change on the daily outlook. As usual, I’

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Morning Market Notes 12-02-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Flow in the individual S&P 500 names was completely mute in yesterday’s session. Mag7 had a small hit, bringing $QQQ to a slight gap up. Overall, the outcome of this session is open — but since we’d been in bullish flow mode

weekly-calendar

Weekly market calendar: Dec. 1-5, 2025 and Morning Market Notes

Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: $SPX & $QQQ On November 21, I wrote: The trend is down now. Bounces should be treated as dead cats until adequate bull flow is deployed. And we stick to that plan. #BTC is down

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Morning Market Notes 11-28-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ EOM sesh. That's all I'll say. Let’s have a sesh. Weekly Payout > Monthly Salary jmtiffany is building a house with trading profits after under a year with 0DTHERO. From unprofitable rat race to "weekly day trading payout greater

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Morning Market Notes 11-26-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ As mentioned last night on Twitter, flow stayed bullish and here we are with possible gap-ups ahead of the bell. This is your gobble-gobble eve and we’re here for it. If I were a betting man, I’d say today’s flows won’t

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 11-25-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Flows are still on the bull side, so once again shorts should have a hard time until we break below 6650. Strong signals only, and don’t fight the current trend. Let’s have a sesh. Weekly Payout > Monthly Salary jmtiffany is building a

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Morning Market Notes 11-24-25

Market Calendar $SPX We mentioned the small bull flow leftover on Friday, and futures opened with a gap up. The key level to watch is 6600 SPX, with no reason to pursue shorts unless we break below it. These dead cat bounces can be persistent. Keep an eye on Friday’

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Morning Market Notes 11-21-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Flow called it again, but this time in a very subtle way: There’s a tiny bull flow here, nothing crazy. If anything, whatever happens today or tomorrow pre-market shouldn’t be what ends up moving the market — wallstsavage (@wallstsavage80) November 19, 2025 $NVDA beating

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Morning Market Notes 11-20-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ $NVDA delivered again. NFP drastically beat expectations in the employment report. We have no option but to run the 2.0. Let’s have a sesh. ⚡ Two weeks to trade like the version of you that already made it ⚡ When flow hits before price moves,

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 11-19-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Without support from the flows I usually mention, SPX has been behaving exactly as expected — strong price swings intraday without continuation in either direction. No edge has been present since Friday, but I believe that’s about to change. $NVDA reports after hours, and tomorrow

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Morning Market Notes 11-18-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ It seems the move yesterday was mostly driven by 0DTE. But we were able to capture the sell signal ahead of time with flow. Today, we will do the exact same thing. Patience for the strong signals only. Let’s have a sesh. ⚡ Two weeks

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 11-17-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The main events of the week are Wednesday and Thursday with $NVDA earnings and NFP. No edge for direction at the moment. We’ll be watching flow closely for clues as usual. Let’s have a sesh. ⚡ Two weeks to trade like the version of

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Morning Market Notes 11-14-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We watched flows turn bearish throughout yesterday’s session, as noted in my tweets — and here we are below 6700 again. Watching flows turn bearish again after everyone got bullish last Friday pic.twitter.com/3e8vVmAJfu — wallstsavage (@wallstsavage80) November 13, 2025 Being down pre-market like

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Morning Market Notes 11-13-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ They skipped October’s CPI even with the government open. I guess we’re officially a banana republic now. Flows yesterday started very bearish in S&P stocks and the Mag7 but subsided into the close. There’s no material negative notional to heavily