savage-notes Morning Market Notes 06-09-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The $SPX is set to open around 6000 as support. We’re watching this level closely now, as a strong break below likely brings 5900 into play. There’s not much on the schedule today in terms of news, but tariffs chatter and the Russian
savage-notes Weekly market calendar: Jun. 9-13, 2025 Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: The markets gave us a technical sell signal last Thursday, but we attempted a break above 6000 $SPX on positive NFP data. This reminds me of Q4 2021 when the markets kept pushing up, gaps
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 06-05-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Did you know? A phone call is worth 35+ points on $ES nowadays. Today I learned a phone call is worth 36 points on $ES_F — wallstsavage (@wallstsavage80) June 5, 2025 That is what happened when this news came out: *XI, TRUMP HOLD PHONE TALKS:
flow-signal Morning Market Notes 06-04-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Impressive reaction to ADP numbers this morning — very unusual, but seems fair given the numbers presented ~35K vs. 110K expected. We enter this session with 6000 SPX dwarfing every single strike on the board in terms of gamma — it's now a major force
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 06-03-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The spread guy is back, with positions sitting at 5955-60 and 5910-15 $SPX. Not my favorite kind of session when this guy is around. On the other hand, we're starting to get mixed signals in technicals. The next few sessions could
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 06-02-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We didn't see much reaction from tariff or Russian war news. See notes from yesterday for June's outlook — we remain bearish on the weekly to monthly timeframes unless technicals and gamma positioning prove us otherwise. Let's have a sesh.
weekly-calendar Weekly market calendar: Jun. 2-6, 2025 Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: NFP week kicks off right after tariff and war news kept dropping since Friday night (see my X for the references). In terms of technicals, May had a good run, but the charts still favor
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savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-29-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The overnight overreaction on futures ignited by a court decision to defy Trump's tariff wars has faded. Obviously. We definitely have something on tap from the President coming any time soon. We closed below $SPX 5900 yesterday on low volume, so that'
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-28-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The $SPX broke above the 5900 level, and that might cause issues for selling into the weekend if we now turn this level into support. That said, two events today could flip the script again: FOMC Minutes at 2, and $NVDA earnings after hours. And
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-27-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We're implied to gap up around 40 points on $SPX at the opening bell, as the tariff news over the weekend brought us up here. Busy week ahead — check the market calendar notes from this weekend. We've got the highly anticipated
weekly-calendar Weekly market calendar: May 26-30, 2025 Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: The beauty of writing and publishing these notes weekly is that we get to go back and compare our forecasts, tracking where we stand week by week. Last weekend, we posted our downside PTs for
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-22-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We mentioned we wanted to see a test of 5900 yesterday — and we got it. Now, what we want to see is 5900 turning into resistance so we can get a shot at the gaps below. This could be a very interesting session, as sentiment
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-21-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ On Monday, we got our first sell signal of the week with $QQQ. The Qs have a sell signal It’s the first index ETF to give us one this week Wen $SPY and $DIA — wallstsavage (@wallstsavage80) May 20, 2025 Yesterday, the other index ETFs
flow-signal Morning Market Notes 05-20-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We’ve been talking about the 5900–6000 $SPX range, but that was before the big OPEX last Friday. Now, all that matters in the gamma exposure landscape is 6000 — the major resistance and call wall. The S&P keeps inching closer to it,
weekly-calendar Weekly market calendar: May 19-23, 2025 Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: After the market close on Friday, nothing spoke louder than Moody’s bomb drop — see tweet below. The reaction on the S&P Futures gives us a glimpse of what the market’s response
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-16-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ On Wednesday, we wrote: $SPX 5900 is the big man on campus for levels, so this should be a sticky area into OPEX—even if we drift into 6000, the second-largest node at this time. We’re calling the top here, at least in
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-15-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Data today said nothing, and Powell even less. The only surprise we might get is some important news out of Turkey, where the Russian war negotiations could bring some action to the market. Outside of that, 5900 should stay sticky—just like it’s been.
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-14-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ $SPX 5900 is the big man on campus for levels, so this should be a sticky area into OPEX—even if we drift into 6000, the second-largest node at this time. We’re calling the top here, at least in the short term. The
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-13-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ CPI inline. Nothing to see here. We’ve got OPEX on Friday, and it’s loaded on calls—as you can see from the gamma charts for $SPX, $SPY, and $QQQ below. So chances are we keep this a range to slow upside drift until
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-12-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ In our weekly calendar notes, we mentioned bullish news hitting the tape and the likely gap up at Futures open. Well, no surprises there. Now that we’re above our upside PT from last week, I’m personally going to start looking at long-dated
weekly-calendar Weekly market calendar: May 12-16, 2025 Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: Tariff positive news + Putin open to negotiating with Ukraine this week Looks like we’re getting that upside target soon — wallstsavage (@wallstsavage80) May 11, 2025 We’re getting hit with bullish news throughout the weekend,
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-09-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The markets keep uptrending toward our price target, and unless a major negative catalyst pulls us back, we’ll get there sooner rather than later. I personally like a retest of 5700 $SPX today—and possibly a break and close above. Let’s get to
flow-signal Morning Market Notes 05-08-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Yesterday I was obviously wrong in expecting Jerome Powell to do what’s right for the economy and cut rates. He didn’t—and apparently, the market keeps pricing the first cut in July. Mr. Too Late seems right. The market didn’t react much
flow-signal Using 0DTHERO flow to trigger Futures trades Let’s walk through the trade I took this morning, triggered entirely by 0DTHERO flow signals. Right from the open, $SPX flow wanted nothing to do with upside — diverging from $ES price action. That’s what we call slope divergence between flow and price. On $SPY, the setup looked a