savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-27-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We're implied to gap up around 40 points on $SPX at the opening bell, as the tariff news over the weekend brought us up here. Busy week ahead — check the market calendar notes from this weekend. We've got the highly anticipated
weekly-calendar Weekly market calendar: May 26-30, 2025 Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: The beauty of writing and publishing these notes weekly is that we get to go back and compare our forecasts, tracking where we stand week by week. Last weekend, we posted our downside PTs for
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-22-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We mentioned we wanted to see a test of 5900 yesterday — and we got it. Now, what we want to see is 5900 turning into resistance so we can get a shot at the gaps below. This could be a very interesting session, as sentiment
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-21-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ On Monday, we got our first sell signal of the week with $QQQ. The Qs have a sell signal It’s the first index ETF to give us one this week Wen $SPY and $DIA — wallstsavage (@wallstsavage80) May 20, 2025 Yesterday, the other index ETFs
flow-signal Morning Market Notes 05-20-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We’ve been talking about the 5900–6000 $SPX range, but that was before the big OPEX last Friday. Now, all that matters in the gamma exposure landscape is 6000 — the major resistance and call wall. The S&P keeps inching closer to it,
weekly-calendar Weekly market calendar: May 19-23, 2025 Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: After the market close on Friday, nothing spoke louder than Moody’s bomb drop — see tweet below. The reaction on the S&P Futures gives us a glimpse of what the market’s response
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-16-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ On Wednesday, we wrote: $SPX 5900 is the big man on campus for levels, so this should be a sticky area into OPEX—even if we drift into 6000, the second-largest node at this time. We’re calling the top here, at least in
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-15-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Data today said nothing, and Powell even less. The only surprise we might get is some important news out of Turkey, where the Russian war negotiations could bring some action to the market. Outside of that, 5900 should stay sticky—just like it’s been.
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-14-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ $SPX 5900 is the big man on campus for levels, so this should be a sticky area into OPEX—even if we drift into 6000, the second-largest node at this time. We’re calling the top here, at least in the short term. The
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-13-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ CPI inline. Nothing to see here. We’ve got OPEX on Friday, and it’s loaded on calls—as you can see from the gamma charts for $SPX, $SPY, and $QQQ below. So chances are we keep this a range to slow upside drift until
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-12-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ In our weekly calendar notes, we mentioned bullish news hitting the tape and the likely gap up at Futures open. Well, no surprises there. Now that we’re above our upside PT from last week, I’m personally going to start looking at long-dated
weekly-calendar Weekly market calendar: May 12-16, 2025 Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: Tariff positive news + Putin open to negotiating with Ukraine this week Looks like we’re getting that upside target soon — wallstsavage (@wallstsavage80) May 11, 2025 We’re getting hit with bullish news throughout the weekend,
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-09-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The markets keep uptrending toward our price target, and unless a major negative catalyst pulls us back, we’ll get there sooner rather than later. I personally like a retest of 5700 $SPX today—and possibly a break and close above. Let’s get to
flow-signal Morning Market Notes 05-08-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Yesterday I was obviously wrong in expecting Jerome Powell to do what’s right for the economy and cut rates. He didn’t—and apparently, the market keeps pricing the first cut in July. Mr. Too Late seems right. The market didn’t react much
flow-signal Using 0DTHERO flow to trigger Futures trades Let’s walk through the trade I took this morning, triggered entirely by 0DTHERO flow signals. Right from the open, $SPX flow wanted nothing to do with upside — diverging from $ES price action. That’s what we call slope divergence between flow and price. On $SPY, the setup looked a
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-07-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ It’s FOMC day. We’re all eager to see what Jerome Powell and the crew will do with interest rates—likely a cut, but by how much? And what kind of narrative will we hear from Powell? Trump has already lowered his guard and
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-06-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Gaps everywhere as we hear from PTJ—the GOAT himself—that he agrees with our downside target (bear market level): MARKET WILL GO TO NEW LOWS UNTIL TARIFFS, RATES CHANGE: JONES PAUL TUDOR JONES EXPECTS TRUMP TO CUT CHINA TARIFFS BY 50% — *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone)
flow-signal Using 0DTHERO Flow to Manage a Futures Position – $ES $MES Let’s walk through the trade I took today. Early in the sesh, I went long $ES based on my INDEX-ETF DESYNC signal. Most of the time, flow generates the signal for my trades — but sometimes, I use it for risk and position management too. That’s exactly what
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-05-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The S&P 500 Futures is down 0.75% pre-market on (checks notes)… nothing. We noted this weekend that there’s still some room to the upside, so I wouldn’t be surprised if we buy this move down all the way into
weekly-calendar Weekly market calendar: May 5-9, 2025 Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: May really starts this week with an FOMC meeting bringing interest rates decision and JPow taking the mic for a press conference that’s highly anticipated in the current economic context. Trump and Powell are
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-02-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The markets received a strong jobs number from NFP with a 50+ point pump. Gonna keep this short and sweet: unc2.0. Let’s have a sesh. 🔗 Try it free here.
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-01-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The unc2.0 didn’t fail yesterday—once again—after the awful Q1 GDP print (-0.3%), but it needed a push from the EOM flows to make it happen right before the closing bell. Nevertheless, it’s been a while since the good old
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 04-30-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ On Monday and yesterday’s notes, we wrote that the Liberation gap was likely this week—and that’s exactly what we got in the last intraday session. We also mentioned our longer-term view on a Bear Market level retest hasn’t changed, and
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 04-29-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We stick to the thesis that we’ll see the Liberation Day gap this week, but we also aren’t changing our longer-term view that we’ll see the Bear Market level again. Tariffs chatter today, JOLTS and Consumer Confidence coming soon at 10:
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 04-28-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Last week, we thrived on volatility — or price violence, as I like to call it. Our reading on the market was spot on when I mentioned on Tuesday that we were back to high-range days, and a swing posted in Team Bull captured a
