wallstsavage

Financial markets' ideas without the BS.

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 04-16-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Yesterday, we mentioned that 5500 was the most loaded level on the board, but that just changed with the recent options positioning and the overnight tariffs chatter. The 5400 $SPX now holds the largest gamma exposure, and we closed below it yesterday—another key level

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Morning Market Notes 04-15-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Happy Tax Day to those who celebrate. Gamma exposure for $SPX through next expiration is clear at this point. The $SPX 5,500 level is the big boy, and we give a slight edge to slow upside continuation with low volume through Thursday. A strong

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 04-14-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Positive tariff news for tech and we’re gapping up across the board, with the $VIX sitting at 30. This short OPEX week, we observe the upside momentum mentioned in our weekly notes yesterday. There will be time for further downside again—but not now.

weekly-calendar

Weekly market calendar: April 14-18, 2025

Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: After hitting last week’s target right off the bat—first with the Futures open implying $SPX spot below the bear market level (4918), and then with Monday’s session testing that level again—we

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 04-11-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ After the historical 530-point day for the S&P on Wednesday, no one really cared about the deflation prints from CPI yesterday or the producer price index this morning. This market is all about tariffs and recession. I’ve been getting feedback from our

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 04-09-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We mentioned the importance of 5000 $SPX for the overall markets, and it couldn’t hold the selling pressure yesterday. A retest of the bear market level — 4918 $SPX — was inevitable, and we did it. Also, we got new highs and new lows on the

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Morning Market Notes 04-08-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The $SPX momentarily stepped into bear market territory in yesterday’s session, and we hit the price target set last week. What a crazy, fast ride with this elevator down. The 5000 $SPX level is the big man on campus, and we’re watching it

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 04-07-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The S&P 500 Futures were down over 5% during Sunday open but pared losses this morning pre-market. International markets got hit substantially, with the Nikkei halted by circuit breakers. Yesterday, we mentioned we’d hit the bear market level fast, and we had

weekly-calendar

Weekly market calendar: April 7-11, 2025

Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: How on target were last weekend’s notes. Boy oh boy. We called for continuation to the downside, and Elmo did not disappoint. Everything went down with Liberation Day on Wednesday, April 2nd, and the

flow-signal

Morning Market Notes 04-04-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ On Tuesday, we mentioned that a touch of the 20-month moving average by $SPX was inevitable—but I didn’t think we’d get there in just three days. Today, we’re set to open below it. JPow speaks right before noon. He’s been

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 04-03-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ How about our Sunday notes coming in strong to confirm our technical read on these markets? The S&P is set to open down over 3.5%, and Trump’s tariff announcement didn’t disappoint—it backed up the technicals. All that rallying to

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 04-02-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Pretty much the entire upside move from yesterday got erased overnight. Shocking, right? Not really. More Elmo ahead through the EOM. President Trump is expected to make announcements on tariffs after the market close, so this is a wait-and-see scenario intraday. Let’s have a

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 04-01-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Yesterday’s rally didn’t change the outlook we set this past weekend. Take a look at the monthly $SPX chart — I don’t believe there’s anything stopping us from at least touching the 20MMA (20-month moving average) moving forward. Crazy months ahead. Let’

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 03-31-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ EOM flows are here, and we’re set to open nearly 1% down in the S&P. Yesterday we wrote about continuation to the downside, and of course, we got it with Futures overnight and pre-market. This should be a fun session. Let’s

weekly-calendar

Weekly market calendar: March 31, April 1-4, 2025

Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: Last Sunday, we called for indecision time in the markets as we sat around the 20DMA (20-day moving average)across the ETFs tied to major indices.  On Tuesday, this is what we had in our

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 03-28-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Market held $SPX 5700, so no decision was made yet. Since we held it, we lean into longs/calls if we stay above this level. We did have closes below the 20DMA on $SPY and $QQQ, but $DIA held it. Mixed signals into this beautiful

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 03-27-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The main level to watch is 5700 $SPX now. The indecision persists, despite yesterday’s 90pt drawdown. Above, we could quickly move to test 5800 into April. Closing below with strength today? Oh boy… it’s Elmo’s land. Let’s have a sesh. 🔗 Try

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 03-26-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We’re pushing above the 20DMA with low volume across the board on ETFs tied to indices, while the $VIX keeps selling. There’s no true edge in either direction here, as we stay in this limbo zone waiting for a major catalyst to pop

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 03-25-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The $SPX went straight back to the 20DMA this past session, and this is the test we’ve been waiting for to draw any real conclusions about what might happen next. If we recover the 20DMA and hold it as support for a couple of

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 03-24-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Once again, we get the whole move pre-market with $ES pushing about 69 points overnight. Yesterday, we mentioned the indecision in technicals and the potential start of a leg higher. Now we wait to see if this is the beginning of that, or just another

weekly-calendar

Weekly market calendar: March 24-28, 2025

Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: Technicals are showing a bit of indecision after last Friday’s OPEX. Unlike previous weeks where we could confidently throw out a forecast for the week, this time I’d rather wait a day or

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 03-21-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ It’s Triple Witching OPEX Friday. Violence is on the menu today. Price swings across the board to be expected. Let’s have a sesh. ✨ What’s Inside 0DTHERO: ⚡ Real-time flow alerts in plain English—know what’s driving the market before it moves 📊 Live

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Morning Market Notes 03-20-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ This is the FOMC Meeting hangover and the OPEX-eve session. The $SPY flow left some leftover positive delta in the tank that might come into play today or tomorrow, but overall, the FOMC move is completely sold off at this point. Gotta say, I don’

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 03-18-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ That was fast. We hit our weekly target in a day. Surprised? Not really. Technicals told the story, and flow supported the bullish thesis, pulling some options walls up to get us there. Now, we wait and see how we react here. If we turn

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 03-17-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Cold retail sales print has caused an impressive recovery in futures this morning. If you read my weekly calendar notes from yesterday, we’re bullish until we’re not. 5700 is the upside target for the week. The infamous spread guy is back, which adds