savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-15-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Data today said nothing, and Powell even less. The only surprise we might get is some important news out of Turkey, where the Russian war negotiations could bring some action to the market. Outside of that, 5900 should stay sticky—just like it’s been.
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-14-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ $SPX 5900 is the big man on campus for levels, so this should be a sticky area into OPEX—even if we drift into 6000, the second-largest node at this time. We’re calling the top here, at least in the short term. The 5900–
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-13-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ CPI inline. Nothing to see here. We’ve got OPEX on Friday, and it’s loaded on calls—as you can see from the gamma charts for $SPX, $SPY, and $QQQ below. So chances are we keep this a range to slow upside drift until
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-12-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ In our weekly calendar notes, we mentioned bullish news hitting the tape and the likely gap up at Futures open. Well, no surprises there. Now that we’re above our upside PT from last week, I’m personally going to start looking at long-dated positions
weekly-calendar Weekly market calendar: May 12-16, 2025 Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: Tariff positive news + Putin open to negotiating with Ukraine this week Looks like we’re getting that upside target soon — wallstsavage (@wallstsavage80) May 11, 2025 We’re getting hit with bullish news throughout the weekend,
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-09-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The markets keep uptrending toward our price target, and unless a major negative catalyst pulls us back, we’ll get there sooner rather than later. I personally like a retest of 5700 $SPX today—and possibly a break and close above. Let’s get to
flow-signal Morning Market Notes 05-08-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Yesterday I was obviously wrong in expecting Jerome Powell to do what’s right for the economy and cut rates. He didn’t—and apparently, the market keeps pricing the first cut in July. Mr. Too Late seems right. The market didn’t react much
flow-signal Using 0DTHERO flow to trigger Futures trades Let’s walk through the trade I took this morning, triggered entirely by 0DTHERO flow signals. Right from the open, $SPX flow wanted nothing to do with upside — diverging from $ES price action. That’s what we call slope divergence between flow and price. On $SPY, the setup looked a
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-07-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ It’s FOMC day. We’re all eager to see what Jerome Powell and the crew will do with interest rates—likely a cut, but by how much? And what kind of narrative will we hear from Powell? Trump has already lowered his guard and
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-06-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Gaps everywhere as we hear from PTJ—the GOAT himself—that he agrees with our downside target (bear market level): MARKET WILL GO TO NEW LOWS UNTIL TARIFFS, RATES CHANGE: JONES PAUL TUDOR JONES EXPECTS TRUMP TO CUT CHINA TARIFFS BY 50% — *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone)
flow-signal Using 0DTHERO Flow to Manage a Futures Position – $ES $MES Let’s walk through the trade I took today. Early in the sesh, I went long $ES based on my INDEX-ETF DESYNC signal. Most of the time, flow generates the signal for my trades — but sometimes, I use it for risk and position management too. That’s exactly what I
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-05-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The S&P 500 Futures is down 0.75% pre-market on (checks notes)… nothing. We noted this weekend that there’s still some room to the upside, so I wouldn’t be surprised if we buy this move down all the way into our
weekly-calendar Weekly market calendar: May 5-9, 2025 Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: May really starts this week with an FOMC meeting bringing interest rates decision and JPow taking the mic for a press conference that’s highly anticipated in the current economic context. Trump and Powell are
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-02-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The markets received a strong jobs number from NFP with a 50+ point pump. Gonna keep this short and sweet: unc2.0. Let’s have a sesh. 🔗 Try it free here.
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 05-01-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The unc2.0 didn’t fail yesterday—once again—after the awful Q1 GDP print (-0.3%), but it needed a push from the EOM flows to make it happen right before the closing bell. Nevertheless, it’s been a while since the good old
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 04-30-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ On Monday and yesterday’s notes, we wrote that the Liberation gap was likely this week—and that’s exactly what we got in the last intraday session. We also mentioned our longer-term view on a Bear Market level retest hasn’t changed, and today
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 04-29-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We stick to the thesis that we’ll see the Liberation Day gap this week, but we also aren’t changing our longer-term view that we’ll see the Bear Market level again. Tariffs chatter today, JOLTS and Consumer Confidence coming soon at 10:00
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 04-28-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Last week, we thrived on volatility — or price violence, as I like to call it. Our reading on the market was spot on when I mentioned on Tuesday that we were back to high-range days, and a swing posted in Team Bull captured a massive
weekly-calendar Weekly market calendar: April 28-May 2, 2025 Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: We’re inching closer to the Liberation Day gap on $SPX around 5572. This might be a strong magnet area for the week, and then we’ll see if momentum starts to shift toward a
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 04-25-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The spread guy is back, messing with our levels—this time going for strikes close to the implied bottom and top. Let’s see what Wall St. does to him and his crew today. Besides that, $GOOGL had solid earnings to report for Q1, which
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 04-24-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ It’s $GOOGL day and we’re here for it. Great time to see how big tech is going to perform in 2025. We expect some key guidance numbers so we can gauge how these giants plan to move amid recession fears and market uncertainty.
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 04-23-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ How on point was our morning notes post yesterday? We wrote about the return of large-range, high-volatility moves this week and testing strangles in this environment — and that’s exactly what we got. It was just a matter of Trump getting a little dovish on
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 04-22-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ After mentioning our short-term view (weeks to maybe a month) that the markets will make a new yearly low, the Nasdaq 100 bottomed intraday on Monday with a -3.5% decline, paring losses a bit into the close. We’re not changing that short-term view,
savage-notes Morning Market Notes 04-21-25 Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ After the OPEX, the big boi level on $SPX is now 5,000. We’ve got support all the way down to 4,500, which is impressive. It seems like the new norm for the markets is ±1% pre-market moves — and here we are again,
weekly-calendar Weekly market calendar: April 21-25, 2025 Happy Easter, traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: Last weekend, we wrote about the possibility of more downside and our skepticism toward the upside momentum shown in the technicals. We also mentioned that the 20DMA could act as resistance — and it did,
